“Trump Economic Chief Says Affordability Crisis Is ‘a Myth’: What Data Shows”
What actually happened
National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett told Fox Business the "affordability crisis" is "a myth," arguing Americans are "$1 trillion better off" since Trump took office and that consumption per household is up roughly $5,000 after inflation. Newsweek's article sets that claim against BLS, Commerce Department, and University of Michigan data, then brings in Moody's and Brookings economists who argue the aggregate figures mask a split between wealthy households driving spending and most Americans facing real wage declines and low savings.
Key facts
- Hassett said Americans are now "$1 trillion better off than when President Trump took office," with consumption per household up "maybe around $5,000," after inflation.
- The latest BLS report found inflation accelerated to 3.7 percent in September from 3.4 percent the prior month, faster than analysts had forecast; nominal hourly earnings rose just 0.1 percent that month while prices rose 0.6 percent, an effective pay cut.
- Commerce Department data shows aggregate personal income rose 7.3 percent since January 2025 to $27.6 trillion, with spending up 9.3 percent to $22.3 trillion, the figures Hassett leans on.
- Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi called affordability "a serious problem for the majority of Americans," and Moody's research found the top 10 percent of earners now account for roughly half of all U.S. consumer spending.
- The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a near all-time low of 48.0 in October from 48.1 in September, with current-conditions assessment at 46.7, the second-lowest on record.
- A Harris Poll for The Guardian (Sept 24 to Oct 3, 3,998 adults) found 96 percent of surveyed Republicans agreed the U.S. was in an affordability crisis.
What to watch for
Watch whether gas prices actually "drop like a rock" as Hassett predicted; Brookings' David Wessel publicly questioned that bet. Also track whether November CPI and the next Michigan sentiment reading confirm the wage-versus-price squeeze, which would further undercut the aggregate-spending defense Hassett is leaning on, especially heading into the midterms.
